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arXiv preprints from January 1, 2026 through July 20, 2026 — 21:24:13 EST

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Posted in stat.ME · 2026-01-14 · Kyusoon Kim, Hee-Seok Oh

Graph Canonical Coherence Analysis

We propose graph canonical coherence analysis (gCChA), a novel framework that extends canonical correlation analysis to multivariate graph signals in the graph frequency domain. The proposed method addresses challenges posed by the inherent features of graphs: discreteness, finiteness, and irregularity. It identifies pairs of...

💬 0 commentsarXiv:2601.09038v1PDF
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Posted in stat.ML · 2026-01-14 · Kai Ming Ting, Ye Zhu, Hang Zhang, Tianrun Liang

Mass Distribution versus Density Distribution in the Context of Clustering

This paper investigates two fundamental descriptors of data, i.e., density distribution versus mass distribution, in the context of clustering. Density distribution has been the de facto descriptor of data distribution since the introduction of statistics. We show that density distribution has its fundamental limitation --...

💬 0 commentsarXiv:2601.10759v2PDF
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Posted in stat.ME · 2026-01-14 · Pratim Guha Niyogi, Muraleetharan Sanjayan, Kathryn C. Fitzgerald, Ellen M. Mowry, Vadim Zipunnikov

Scalar-on-distribution regression via generalized odds with applications to accelerometry-assessed disability in multiple sclerosis

Distributional representations of data collected using digital health technologies have been shown to outperform scalar summaries for clinical prediction, with carefully quantified tail-behavior often driving the gains. Motivated by these findings, we propose a unified generalized odds (GO) framework that represents subject-specific...

💬 0 commentsarXiv:2601.09126v1PDF
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Posted in stat.ME · 2026-01-14 · Dapeng Shi, Haoran Zhang, Tiandong Wang, Junhui Wang

A Multilayer Probit Network Model for Community Detection with Dependent Edges and Layers

Community detection in multilayer networks, which aims to identify groups of nodes exhibiting similar connectivity patterns across multiple network layers, has attracted considerable attention in recent years. Most existing methods are based on the assumption that different layers are either independent or follow specific dependence...

💬 0 commentsarXiv:2601.09161v2PDF
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Posted in stat.AP · 2026-01-14 · Guodong Xu, Juan Du, Hui Yang

3D-SONAR: Self-Organizing Network for 3D Anomaly Ranking

Surface anomaly detection using 3D point cloud data has gained increasing attention in industrial inspection. However, most existing methods rely on deep learning techniques that are highly dependent on large-scale datasets for training, which are difficult and expensive to acquire in real-world applications. To address this...

💬 0 commentsarXiv:2601.09294v1PDF
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Posted in stat.ME · 2026-01-14 · Ángel López-Oriona, Ying Sun, Hanlin Shang

White noise testing for functional time series via functional quantile autocorrelation

We introduce a novel class of nonlinear tests for serial dependence in functional time series, grounded in the functional quantile autocorrelation framework. Unlike traditional approaches based on the classical autocovariance kernel, the functional quantile autocorrelation framework leverages quantile-based excursion sets to robustly...

💬 0 commentsarXiv:2601.09371v2PDF
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Posted in stat.ME · 2026-01-14 · Joanna Hindley, Charlotte Hartley, Jennifer Hellier, Kate Sturgeon, Sophie Greenwood, Ian Newsome, Katherine Barrett, Debs Smith, Tra My Pham, Dongquan Bi, Beatriz Goulao, Suzie Cro, Brennan C Kahan

Tools to help patients and other stakeholders' input into choice of estimand and intercurrent event strategy in randomised trials

Estimands can help to clarify the research questions being addressed in randomised trials. Because the choice of estimand can affect how relevant trial results are to patients and other stakeholders, such as clinicians or policymakers, it is important for them to be involved in these decisions. However, there are barriers to having...

💬 0 commentsarXiv:2601.09442v1PDF
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Posted in stat.ME · 2026-01-14 · David Bamio, Jacobo de Uña-Álvarez

Smoothing spline density estimation from doubly truncated data

In Astronomy, Survival Analysis and Epidemiology, among many other fields, doubly truncated data often appear. Double truncation generally induces a sampling bias, so ordinary estimators may be inconsistent. In this paper, smoothing spline density estimation from doubly truncated data is investigated. For this purpose, an appropriate...

💬 0 commentsarXiv:2601.09576v1PDF
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Posted in stat.ME · 2026-01-14 · Jonathan W. Bartlett, Dominic Magirr, Tim P. Morris

How to interpret hazard ratios

The hazard ratio, typically estimated using Cox's famous proportional hazards model, is the most common effect measure used to describe the association or effect of a covariate on a time-to-event outcome. In recent years the hazard ratio has been argued by some to lack a causal interpretation, even in randomised trials, and even if...

💬 0 commentsarXiv:2601.09571v1PDF
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Posted in stat.ME · 2026-01-14 · Rongqian Zhang, Elena Tuzhilina, Jun Young Park

Sparse covariate-driven factorization of high-dimensional brain connectivity with application to site effect correction

Large-scale neuroimaging studies often collect data from multiple scanners across different sites, where variations in scanners, scanning procedures, and other conditions across sites can introduce artificial site effects. These effects may bias brain connectivity measures, such as functional connectivity (FC), which quantify...

💬 0 commentsarXiv:2601.09525v2PDF
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Posted in stat.CO · 2026-01-14 · Guillermina Senn, Håkon Tjelmeland, Nathan Glatt-Holtz, Matt Walker, Andrew Holbrook

Bayesian Semi-Blind Deconvolution at Scale

Blind image deconvolution refers to the problem of simultaneously estimating the blur kernel and the true image from a set of observations when both the blur kernel and the true image are unknown. Sometimes, additional image and/or blur information is available and the term semi-blind deconvolution (SBD) is used. We consider a...

💬 0 commentsarXiv:2601.09677v1PDF
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Posted in stat.AP · 2026-01-14 · Gloria Henríquez, Jhoan Báez, Víctor Riquelme, Pedro Gajardo, Michel Royer, Héctor Ramírez

Forecasting Seasonal Peaks of Pediatric Respiratory Infections Using an Alert-Based Model Combining SIR Dynamics and Historical Trends in Santiago, Chile

Acute respiratory infections (ARI) are a major cause of pediatric hospitalization in Chile, producing marked winter increases in demand that challenge hospital planning. This study presents an alert-based forecasting model to predict the timing and magnitude of ARI hospitalization peaks in Santiago. The approach integrates a seasonal...

💬 0 commentsarXiv:2601.09821v1PDF
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Posted in stat.ME · 2026-01-14 · Ha Nguyen, Sumanta Basu

LARGE: A Locally Adaptive Regularization Approach for Estimating Gaussian Graphical Models

The graphical Lasso (GLASSO) is a widely used algorithm for learning high-dimensional undirected Gaussian graphical models (GGM). Given i.i.d. observations from a multivariate normal distribution, GLASSO estimates the precision matrix by maximizing the log-likelihood with an \ell_1-penalty on the off-diagonal entries. However,...

💬 0 commentsarXiv:2601.09686v1PDF
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Posted in stat.ME · 2026-01-14 · Jacob A. Turner, Monnie McGee, Bianca A. Luedeker

Tree Estimation and Saddlepoint-Based Diagnostics for the Nested Dirichlet Distribution: Application to Compositional Behavioral Data

The Nested Dirichlet Distribution (NDD) provides a flexible alternative to the Dirichlet distribution for modeling compositional data, relaxing constraints on component variances and correlations through a hierarchical tree structure. While theoretically appealing, the NDD is underused in practice due to two main limitations: the need...

💬 0 commentsarXiv:2601.09941v1PDF
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Posted in stat.ME · 2026-01-14 · Mayukh Choudhury, Debraj Das

High Dimensional Gaussian and Bootstrap Approximations in Generalized Linear Models

Generalized Linear Model (or GLM) extends the ordinary linear regression by linking the mean of the response variable to covariates through appropriate link functions. GLM is widely used in the analysis of datasets arising from diverse fields including medical sciences, clinical trials, population surveys and risk analysis. In this...

💬 0 commentsarXiv:2601.09925v2PDF
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Posted in stat.ME · 2026-01-14 · Bilel Bousselmi, Gabriela Ciuperca

Model selection by cross-validation in an expectile linear regression

For linear models that may have asymmetric errors, we study variable selection by cross-validation. The data are split into training and validation sets, with the number of observations in the validation set much larger than in the training set. For the model coefficients, the expectile or adaptive LASSO expectile estimators are...

💬 0 commentsarXiv:2601.09874v1PDF
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Posted in stat.CO · 2026-01-14 · Dylan Borchert, Semhar Michael, Christopher Saunders

Estimation of Parameters of the Truncated Normal Distribution with Unknown Bounds

Estimators of parameters of truncated distributions, namely the truncated normal distribution, have been widely studied for a known truncation region. There is also literature for estimating the unknown bounds for known parent distributions. In this work, we develop a novel algorithm under the expectation-solution (ES) framework,...

💬 0 commentsarXiv:2601.09857v1PDF
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Posted in stat.ML · 2026-01-14 · Hong Ye Tan, Stanley Osher, Wuchen Li

Accelerated Regularized Wasserstein Proximal Sampling Algorithms

We consider sampling from a Gibbs distribution by evolving a finite number of particles using a particular score estimator rather than Brownian motion. To accelerate the particles, we consider a second-order score-based ODE, similar to Nesterov acceleration. In contrast to traditional kernel density score estimation, we use the...

💬 0 commentsarXiv:2601.09848v2PDF
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Posted in stat.ML · 2026-01-13 · Xinping Yi, Gaojie Jin, Xiaowei Huang, Shi Jin

Towards A Unified PAC-Bayesian Framework for Norm-based Generalization Bounds

Understanding the generalization behavior of deep neural networks remains a fundamental challenge in modern statistical learning theory. Among existing approaches, PAC-Bayesian norm-based bounds have demonstrated particular promise due to their data-dependent nature and their ability to capture algorithmic and geometric properties of...

💬 0 commentsarXiv:2601.08100v1PDF
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Posted in stat.OT · 2026-01-13 · Yuxi Zhao, Margaret Gamalo

Proactive Anomaly Screen for Multiple Endpoints Using Bayesian Latent Class Modeling: A k-Step Ahead Approach

In clinical trials, ensuring the quality and validity of data for downstream analysis and results is paramount, thus necessitating thorough data monitoring. This typically involves employing edit checks and manual queries during data collection. Edit checks consist of straightforward schemes programmed into relational databases,...

💬 0 commentsarXiv:2601.08167v2PDF
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Posted in stat.ML · 2026-01-13 · Pei Heng, Yi Sun, Jianhua Guo

Structural Dimension Reduction in Bayesian Networks

This work introduces a novel technique, named structural dimension reduction, to collapse a Bayesian network onto a minimum and localized one while ensuring that probabilistic inferences between the original and reduced networks remain consistent. To this end, we propose a new combinatorial structure in directed acyclic graphs called...

💬 0 commentsarXiv:2601.08236v1PDF
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Posted in stat.AP · 2026-01-13 · Pierre Ailliot, Carlo Gaetan, Philippe Naveau

A parsimonious tail compliant multiscale statistical model for aggregated rainfall

Modeling rainfall intensity distributions across aggregation scales (from sub-hourly to weekly) is essential for hydrological risk analysis and IDF curves. Aggregation naturally imposes mathematical constraints: return levels must be ordered by time scale, as daily accumulations necessarily exceed sub-daily ones. From a statistical...

💬 0 commentsarXiv:2601.08350v1PDF
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Posted in stat.CO · 2026-01-13 · Abylay Zhumekenov, Alexandros Beskos, Dan Crisan, Ajay Jasra, Nikolas Kantas

Particle Filtering for a Class of State-Space Models with Low and Degenerate Observational Noise

We consider the discrete-time filtering problem in scenarios where the observation noise is low or degenerate. We focus on the case where the observation equation is a linear function of the state and the data involve additive noise. However, we place minimal assumptions on the hidden state process. For such a class of models we...

💬 0 commentsarXiv:2601.08411v2PDF
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Posted in stat.AP · 2026-01-13 · Shi-Shun Chen, Dong-Hua Niu, Wen-Bin Chen, Jia-Yun Song, Ya-Fei Zhang, Xiao-Yang Li, Enrico Zio

Reliability Modeling of Single-Sided Aluminized Polyimide Films during Storage Considering Stress-Induced Degradation Mechanism Transition

Single-sided aluminized polyimide films (SAPF) are widely used in thermal management of aerospace systems. Although the reliability of SAPF in space environments has been thoroughly studied, its reliability in ground environments during storage is always ignored, potentially leading to system failure. This paper aims to investigate...

💬 0 commentsarXiv:2601.08655v1PDF
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Posted in stat.ML · 2026-01-13 · The Tien Mai

Robust low-rank estimation with multiple binary responses using pairwise AUC loss

Multiple binary responses arise in many modern data-analytic problems. Although fitting separate logistic regressions for each response is computationally attractive, it ignores shared structure and can be statistically inefficient, especially in high-dimensional and class-imbalanced regimes. Low-rank models offer a natural way to...

💬 0 commentsarXiv:2601.08618v1PDF