arXiv preprints from January 1, 2026 through September 21, 2026 — 02:32:20 EST
Normally strong and tough, steel$\unicode{x2014}$with iron as its base$\unicode{x2014}$falls prey to severe embrittlement when infiltrated by hydrogen; the insights into why are not well understood. This work explores how hydrogen affects bond strength in iron during fracture and why it reduces cohesion between fracture surfaces,...
Recent observations have identified a new class of long-duration gamma-ray bursts (GRBs) likely produced by compact binary mergers. Using radio observations and lightcurve modelling, we investigate whether a magnetar remnant can power the long-lasting prompt emission observed in this merger-driven GRB sample. We derive constraints on...
Telework has expanded rapidly, and understanding the behaviors employees enact under it has become correspondingly important. This study develops an integrative conceptual framework specifying the multidimensional nature of telework behavior. A systematic literature review following PRISMA identified 114 review articles, which were...
This paper is the first work at the intersection of game theory and property testing, giving algorithms and lower bounds for efficiently testing whether an allocation mechanism is incentive compatible (IC). We propose distinguishing whether a mechanism is $ε$-far from being IC, i.e., when it observes many monotonicity "violations."...
Policy learning aims to determine who should be treated based on individual characteristics. In high-stakes settings such as medicine and public policy where safety is a central concern, improving the average outcomes alone may not be sufficient: decision makers may also seek to protect individuals from harm, in line with the...
Green economic complexity provides a generalizable framework for examining countries' productive capabilities in a defined product set. We apply this framework to AI-enabling goods within the full product space, linking current specialization with adjacent diversification opportunities. Using BACI exports for 2007-2023 and 103...
I study dynamic treatment effects in panel data under staggered adoption when treatment timing depends jointly on unobserved time-invariant heterogeneity and time-varying pretreatment covariates, including lagged outcomes. Untreated potential outcomes follow a nonparametric dynamic panel model that allows flexible interactions between...
We investigate Empirical Bayes (EB) methods in the context of compound adaptive experiments, where the arm distribution in each experiment follows a normal distribution with an unknown mean that we seek to estimate. There are two main EB strategies: $g$-modeling, which estimates the prior by maximizing the marginal likelihood, and...
This paper studies the strategic market participation of a monopolistic energy storage aggregator (ESA) in a day-ahead electricity market. The ESA coordinates geographically distributed storage units, submits a coordinated bid for its portfolio, and may hold financial transmission rights (FTRs). The system operator clears the...
This paper develops Wald inference for least-squares estimation of linear regression models on dyadic data, accommodating configurations where multiple observations share the same pair of units (e.g., directed flows, multilayer networks, and dyadic panels). We establish that the dyadic-robust Wald statistic is asymptotically $χ^2_q$...
The return-on-investment (ROI) constraint is central to many auctions, particularly in online advertising, where a bidder is unwilling to pay more than a fixed fraction of the value obtained. We study truthful and revenue-maximizing auctions for ROI-constrained bidders. We first characterize truthful auctions when both valuations and...
Consider a situation wherein a decision maker sequentially searches for the best alternative among heterogeneous options with an arbitrary search order. The agent partially learns the value of an option when inspecting it. The information structure jointly determines the ex-ante and ex-post value of investigating each option, thereby...
As artificial intelligence's capabilities improve, it is increasingly viewed as a general scientific method. But how true are these claims? Does AI outperform all techniques, or only some, and how is this changing? To assess the claims, we assemble a corpus of 2,507 head-to-head comparisons between AI and other scientific analysis...
Numbers this large invite a defensive reflex: reach for the reassuring figure and move on. By the most widely cited measure, the World Bank's extreme-poverty line of \$3.00 per day (2021 PPP), approximately 847 million people, or 10.4% of the world's population, lived in poverty in 2024. That figure is accurate as measured. It is...
The Money Pump Index (MPI) of Echenique et al. (2011) measures the severity of consumer irrationality, but computing the exact mean and median MPI over all revealed preference cycles is NP-hard (Smeulders et al., 2013). Existing solutions rely on heuristic proxies, such as evaluating only shorter cycles or bounding the MPI. By framing...
Public evidence can become sufficient to settle a prediction-market contract before the venue records its first determination, but the relevant boundary depends on the applicable rule version, exact release object, source hierarchy, correction history, and unfinished contract conditions. This paper defines two Kalshi clocks: first...
Special Markowitz (SM) regularises returns and covariance jointly, relative to a reference state (mu_ref, Sigma_ref). Each eigendirection of the whitened relative operator carries a spectral reliability potential Phi_k, derived from its estimation quality. Its exponential reliability weight exp(-Phi_k) governs both the fraction of the...
We develop a diffusion-model framework for dynamic implied-volatility surface generation and evaluate its economic usefulness through data-driven hedging. The framework consists of two models. AD-Seq-Vol jointly learns the conditional evolution of the underlying asset return and the high-dimensional implied-volatility surface,...
Liver cancer is a complex disease responsible for a high number of deaths across the globe each year, making automated solutions for liver cancer classification urgent. The most common form of liver cancer is hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC), accounting for over 90% of liver cancer cases. There is a distinct lack of publicly available...
Human videos provide rich manipulation experience, but extracting action representations that preserve useful motion remains challenging. Visual reconstruction alone can entangle manipulation-related motion with appearance changes and camera movement. We present GeoLAM, a framework for learning geometry-grounded latent actions from...
Multimodal representation learning seeks shared representations for cross-modal retrieval and knowledge transfer. Hub-based binding reduces pairwise supervision costs, but separate hub connections cannot guarantee reliable alignment between modalities without direct joint training. We introduce Hub-Spectral Activation (HSA), a...
Multi-target regression requires a model to simultaneously predict several related outputs. Conformal prediction provides distribution-free, finite-sample marginal coverage guarantees, but extending these to joint multi-dimensional regions in a model-agnostic, sample-efficient manner remains challenging: max-aggregation ignores scale...
Recent advancements in large language models have significantly enhanced the capabilities of agents in modeling long-term conversations. Despite these successes, existing approaches typically adopt a static heuristic paradigm, where information is passively archived without adaptive memory valuation. Consequently, these methods fail...
The Asset Administration Shell (AAS) is increasingly recognized as a fundamental model for the realization of and data exchange between digital twins in manufacturing. An AAS defines a hierarchical data structure to represent any type of asset throughout its entire lifecycle. In the context of AAS-based systems, comparing different...
Communication complexity studies how much information must be exchanged to solve a problem whose input is split among several parties. The classical setting deals with Boolean inputs split between two parties. We study an algebraic variant, where the inputs are vectors over a field $\mathbb{F} \in \{\mathbb{R}, \mathbb{C}\}$. Alice...