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arXiv preprints from January 1, 2026 through July 28, 2026 — 18:51:09 EST

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Posted in econ.TH · 2026-01-14 · Ignacio Esponda, Demian Pouzo

Learning and Equilibrium under Model Misspecification

This chapter develops a unified framework for studying misspecified learning situations in which agents optimize and update beliefs within an incorrect model of their environment. We review the statistical foundations of learning from misspecified models and extend these insights to environments with endogenous, action-dependent data,...

💬 0 commentsarXiv:2601.09891v1PDF
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Posted in nucl-th · 2026-01-14 · Tribhuban Parida, Rupam Samanta, Jean-Yves Ollitrault

The collectivity of transverse momentum fluctuations

We study the observable $v_0(p_T)$, which quantifies the relative change of $p_T$ spectra induced by event-by-event density fluctuations in the medium created in heavy-ion collisions. This quantity provides a direct measure of radial flow and serves as a probe of collectivity, complementing anisotropic flow coefficients. Using...

💬 0 commentsarXiv:2601.09890v2PDF
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Posted in cond-mat.supr-con · 2026-01-14 · Wan-Ting Liao, S. K. Dutta, R. E. Butera, C. J. Lobb, F. C. Wellstood, M. Dreyer

Multiple Andreev Reflection Effects in Asymmetric STM Josephson Junctions

We have examined the electrical behavior of Josephson junctions formed by a scanning tunneling microscope (STM) with a Nb sample and a Nb tip, with normal-state resistances Rn varying between 1 kOhm and 10 MOhm. Current-voltage characteristics were obtained as a function of Rn by varying the distance between the tip and sample at...

💬 0 commentsarXiv:2601.09889v1PDF
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Posted in econ.EM · 2026-01-14 · Frederico Finan, Demian Pouzo

Learning about Treatment Effects with Prior Studies: A Bayesian Model Averaging Approach

We establish concentration rates for estimation of treatment effects in experiments that incorporate prior sources of information -- such as past pilots, related studies, or expert assessments -- whose external validity is uncertain. Each source is modeled as a Gaussian prior with its own mean and precision, and sources are combined...

💬 0 commentsarXiv:2601.09888v2PDF
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Posted in cs.HC · 2026-01-14 · Rostyslav Hnatyshyn, Danny Perez, Gerik Scheuermann, Ross Maciejewski, Baldwin Nsonga

LAMDA: Aiding Visual Exploration of Atomic Displacements in Molecular Dynamics Simulations

Contemporary materials science research is heavily conducted in silico, involving massive simulations of the atomic-scale evolution of materials. Cataloging basic patterns in the atomic displacements is key to understanding and predicting the evolution of physical properties. However, the combinatorial complexity of the space of...

💬 0 commentsarXiv:2601.09887v1PDF
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Posted in cs.CL · 2026-01-14 · Sathvik Nair, Byung-Doh Oh

Clozing the Gap: Exploring Why Language Model Surprisal Outperforms Cloze Surprisal

How predictable a word is can be quantified in two ways: using human responses to the cloze task or using probabilities from language models (LMs).When used as predictors of processing effort, LM probabilities outperform probabilities derived from cloze data. However, it is important to establish that LM probabilities do so for the...

💬 0 commentsarXiv:2601.09886v2PDF
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Posted in physics.optics · 2026-01-14 · Austin Bartunek, Nils H. Sommerfeld, Francois Mauger

Variable coherence model for free-electron laser pulses

We introduce the variable coherence model (VCM) for simulating free-electron laser (FEL) pulses generated through self-amplified spontaneous emission. Building on the established partial coherence model of [T. Pfeifer et. al, Opt. Lett. 35, 3441 (2010)], we demonstrate that the implementation of a variable coherence width allows for...

💬 0 commentsarXiv:2601.09885v2PDF
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Posted in math.DG · 2026-01-14 · Tongrui Wang

Multiplicity one for equivariant min-max theory in prescribed homology classes

For a closed Riemannian manifold $M$ with a compact Lie group $G$ acting by isometries, we show a generic multiplicity one theorem in equivariant min-max theory, and show in generic sense that there are infinitely many $G$-invariant minimal hypersurfaces in a fixed $G$-homology class. We also establish an equivariant min-max theory...

💬 0 commentsarXiv:2601.09884v1PDF
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Posted in cs.AI · 2026-01-14 · Xinxing Ren, Quagmire Zang, Caelum Forder, Suman Deb, Ahsen Tahir, Roman J. Georgio, Peter Carroll, Zekun Guo

Beyond Rule-Based Workflows: An Information-Flow-Orchestrated Multi-Agents Paradigm via Agent-to-Agent Communication from CORAL

Most existing Large Language Model (LLM)-based Multi-Agent Systems (MAS) rely on predefined workflows, where human engineers enumerate task states in advance and specify routing rules and contextual injections accordingly. Such workflow-driven designs are essentially rule-based decision trees, which suffer from two fundamental...

💬 0 commentsarXiv:2601.09883v1PDF
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Posted in math.NA · 2026-01-14 · Minglei Yang, Diego del-Castillo-Negrete, Guannan Zhang

An efficient probabilistic scheme for the exit time probability of $α$-stable Lévy process

The α-stable Lévy process, commonly used to describe Lévy flight, is characterized by discontinuous jumps and is widely used to model anomalous transport phenomena. In this study, we investigate the associated exit problem and propose a method to compute the exit time probability, which quantifies the likelihood that a trajectory...

💬 0 commentsarXiv:2601.09882v1PDF
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Posted in cs.CV · 2026-01-14 · Weili Nie, Julius Berner, Nanye Ma, Chao Liu, Saining Xie, Arash Vahdat

Transition Matching Distillation for Fast Video Generation

Large video diffusion and flow models have achieved remarkable success in high-quality video generation, but their use in real-time interactive applications remains limited due to their inefficient multi-step sampling process. In this work, we present Transition Matching Distillation (TMD), a novel framework for distilling video...

💬 0 commentsarXiv:2601.09881v2PDF
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Posted in math.PR · 2026-01-14 · Jean-Gabriel Attali

Asymptotic Stability and Equilibrium Selection in Quasi-Feller Systems with Minimal Moment Conditions

We study equilibrium selection for invariant measures of stochastic dynamical systems with constant step size, under persistent noise and minimal moment assumptions, in a general quasi-Feller framework. Such dynamics arise in projection-based algorithms, learning in games, and systems with discontinuous decision rules, where classical...

💬 0 commentsarXiv:2601.09880v1PDF
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Posted in cs.CV · 2026-01-14 · Yang Xing, Jiong Wu, Savas Ozdemir, Ying Zhang, Yang Yang, Wei Shao, Kuang Gong

MedVL-SAM2: A unified 3D medical vision-language model for multimodal reasoning and prompt-driven segmentation

Recent progress in medical vision-language models (VLMs) has achieved strong performance on image-level text-centric tasks such as report generation and visual question answering (VQA). However, achieving fine-grained visual grounding and volumetric spatial reasoning in 3D medical VLMs remains challenging, particularly when aiming to...

💬 0 commentsarXiv:2601.09879v1PDF
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Posted in physics.ed-ph · 2026-01-14 · Sarah McHale, Tor Ole B. Odden, Ken Heller

Studying Impact and Intent of Design: Conjecture Mapping for Affect-Centered Analysis

Physics education researchers have argued that authentic physics education includes computation as part of a physics student's training, and many parties have made efforts towards this goal. However, most research on this teaching modality has centered cognitive impacts rather than affective impacts, so little is known about the...

💬 0 commentsarXiv:2601.09878v1PDF
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Posted in cs.HC · 2026-01-14 · Paulius Jurcys, Ashley Greenwald, Mark Fenwick, Valto Loikkanen, Sebastian Porsdam Mann, Brian D. Earp

Who Owns My AI Twin? Data Ownership in a New World of Simulated Identities

The emergence of AI twins, digital replicas that encapsulate an individual's knowledge, memories, psychological traits, and behavioral patterns, raises novel legal and ethical challenges for data governance and personal identity. Built from personal data, these systems require a rethinking of what it means to exercise dominion over...

💬 0 commentsarXiv:2601.09877v2PDF
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Posted in cs.CL · 2026-01-14 · Yifei Shen, Yilun Zhao, Justice Ou, Tinglin Huang, Arman Cohan

Patient-Similarity Cohort Reasoning in Clinical Text-to-SQL

Real-world clinical text-to-SQL requires reasoning over heterogeneous EHR tables, temporal windows, and patient-similarity cohorts to produce executable queries. We introduce CLINSQL, a benchmark of 633 expert-annotated tasks on MIMIC-IV v3.1 that demands multi-table joins, clinically meaningful filters, and executable SQL. Solving...

💬 0 commentsarXiv:2601.09876v1PDF
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Posted in math.OA · 2026-01-14 · Tattwamasi Amrutam, Yongle Jiang, Shuoxing Zhou

Non-commutative Factor theorem for tensor products of lattices in product groups

We establish a non-commutative version of the Intermediate Factor Theorem for crossed products associated with product lattices. Given an irreducible lattice $Γ< G= G_1 \times \dots \times G_d$ in higher rank semisimple algebraic groups and a trace-preserving irreducible action $G \curvearrowright (\mathcal{N}, τ)$, we show that every...

💬 0 commentsarXiv:2601.09875v1PDF
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Posted in stat.ME · 2026-01-14 · Bilel Bousselmi, Gabriela Ciuperca

Model selection by cross-validation in an expectile linear regression

For linear models that may have asymmetric errors, we study variable selection by cross-validation. The data are split into training and validation sets, with the number of observations in the validation set much larger than in the training set. For the model coefficients, the expectile or adaptive LASSO expectile estimators are...

💬 0 commentsarXiv:2601.09874v1PDF
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Posted in eess.AS · 2026-01-14 · Kayley Seow, Alexander Arovas, Grace Steinmetz, Emily Bick

BickGraphing: Web-Based Application for Visual Inspection of Audio Recordings

BickGraphing is a browser based research tool that enables visual inspection of acoustic recordings. The tool was built in support of visualizing crop feeding pest sounds in support of the Insect Eavesdropper project; however, it is widely applicable to all audiovisualizations in research. It allows multiple uploads of large .wav...

💬 0 commentsarXiv:2601.17014v1PDF
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Posted in cs.SE · 2026-01-14 · Saymon Souza, Amanda Santana, Eduardo Figueiredo, Igor Muzetti, João Eduardo Montandon, Lionel Briand

Beyond Strict Rules: Assessing the Effectiveness of Large Language Models for Code Smell Detection

Code smells are symptoms of potential code quality problems that may affect software maintainability, thus increasing development costs and impacting software reliability. Large language models (LLMs) have shown remarkable capabilities for supporting various software engineering activities, but their use for detecting code smells...

💬 0 commentsarXiv:2601.09873v2PDF
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Posted in q-fin.MF · 2026-01-14 · Eunjung Noh

A continuous-time Kyle model with price-responsive traders

Classical Kyle-type models of informed trading typically treat noise trader demand as purely exogenous. In reality, many market participants react to price movements and news, generating feedback effects that can significantly alter market dynamics. This paper develops a continuous-time Kyle framework in which two types of...

💬 0 commentsarXiv:2601.09872v1PDF
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Posted in cs.AI · 2026-01-14 · Andrea Ferrario, Alessandro Facchini, Juan M. Durán

Epistemology gives a Future to Complementarity in Human-AI Interactions

Human-AI complementarity is the claim that a human supported by an AI system can outperform either alone in a decision-making process. Since its introduction in the humanAI interaction literature, it has gained traction by generalizing the reliance paradigm and by offering a more practical alternative to the contested construct of...

💬 0 commentsarXiv:2601.09871v2PDF
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Posted in cond-mat.soft · 2026-01-14 · Hugo L. França, Daniël Tieman, James D. Shemilt, Cassio Oishi, Maziyar Jalaal

Coalescence of Printed Yield Stress Filaments in Direct Ink Writing

In direct ink writing (DIW), neighbouring filaments of yield-stress inks are deposited side-by-side and are expected to merge into smooth, mechanically robust structures. Unlike Newtonian filaments, coalescence can arrest in finite time, leaving a permanent, non-flat ridge set by the competition between capillarity and rheology. Here...

💬 0 commentsarXiv:2601.09870v1PDF
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Posted in cs.AI · 2026-01-14 · Andrea Ferrario, Rasita Vinay, Matteo Casserini, Alessandro Facchini

A Scoping Review of the Ethical Perspectives on Anthropomorphising Large Language Model-Based Conversational Agents

Anthropomorphisation -- the phenomenon whereby non-human entities are ascribed human-like qualities -- has become increasingly salient with the rise of large language model (LLM)-based conversational agents (CAs). Unlike earlier chatbots, LLM-based CAs routinely generate interactional and linguistic cues, such as first-person...

💬 0 commentsarXiv:2601.09869v2PDF
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Posted in astro-ph.HE · 2026-01-14 · Ali Taani

Dynamics of Apsidal Motion in Non-Synchronous Binary Pulsars Coupled Orbit and Spin Evolution

The apsidal motion of a non-synchronous binary pulsar serves as a valuable probe of relativistic gravity, stellar stricture, and dynamical evolution of close binary systems, In this study, we investigate the combined influence of general relativity, stellar oblateness and tidal interaction on the apsidal motion of three binary...

💬 0 commentsarXiv:2601.09868v1PDF