arXiv preprints from January 1, 2026 through September 23, 2026 — 21:45:46 EST
It is well known that the gap in life expectancy at birth can be seen as the net difference between two survivorship functions. When calculating the absolute difference between the two survivorship functions instead, we derive a distributional inequality measure which is called the Wasserstein distance. The measure quantifies how far...
We develop a log-Gaussian Cox process framework for modelling street-level crime data observed on a road network when the released event locations are spatially obfuscated. Motivated by UK Police street-level crime data, where published coordinates are anonymised proxy locations rather than exact event locations, we address the...
Many scientific and engineering applications require estimating unknown parameters from experimentally observable data -- an inverse problem that is inherently challenging due to nonlinearity, noise, and ill-posedness. In this paper, we propose an active diffusion-based inverse problem solver. A DM is trained to learn the mapping...
Joint analyses across multiple institutions are increasingly important in biomedical and epidemiological research, particularly for rare diseases where datasets are typical small. However, privacy regulations and institutional policies often prevent the sharing of individual-level patient data. In this paper we present an accurate and...
Because of time limitations or participation burden, the treatments in an experimental design can be too large for a single subject. Instead of addressing this using combinatorial incomplete block designs, we propose a model-based approach that optimizes model parameters. This offers distinct advantages: it incorporates...
Hidden coordinates are not uniquely determined by a language model's input--output function, so representation-derived measurements should be invariant to function-preserving changes of basis. This study shows that column-permutation parallel analysis violates function-preserving reparameterization invariance because its reference...
Kernels measure similarity or correlation in tasks such as regression and classification. The Gaussian kernel, other names of which include squared exponential and radial basis function kernel, is one of the most popular in Gaussian process regression. We argue that the Gaussian kernel is best avoided and should never be used as a...
Graphs are invariant under node permutations, motivating the use of permutation-equivariant architectures in generative models. In flow matching, however, symmetry may also enter the source--target coupling: once graph pairs are compared up to node relabeling, the natural Wasserstein geometry is that of the graph quotient space. The...
Trial-based economic evaluations are widely used to assess the cost-effectiveness of healthcare interventions and inform decision-making. Cost and effectiveness outcomes are typically collected using multi-item questionnaires administered at multiple time points, and are often subject to item-level missingness. In principle,...
Deep generative models such as flow matching and diffusion models have shown potential for learning complex dynamical systems, but typically act as black boxes that neglect underlying physical structure, while physics-based models governed by partial differential equations are often incomplete due to missing source terms, or uncertain...
Prior analyses by Derezinski and Warmuth established all-size sampling identities, selected-OLS unbiasedness, and inverse moments for ordinary volume sampling, while their exact arbitrary-fixed-response loss and prediction-covariance formulas are at the rank-size endpoint s=d. We establish a Loewner envelope for centered coefficient...
Expected shortfall (ES) is widely used to measure tail risk in finance and economics, but its prediction is challenging due to non-elicitability and model uncertainty. This paper proposes a two-stage cross-validation model averaging method for ES forecasting. In the first stage, conditional value-at-risk is estimated using quantile...
Recommendation impressions are a finite resource, hence delivering a recommendation to a user who would discover the content organically yields no incremental value and displaces other recommendations that could. We address this by extending an existing production recommendation model to a causal architecture using holdback data that...
Scoring consistency for constructed-response items in large-scale assessments is typically estimated through double-scoring, which uses small samples and assumes independence among responses. We present an integrated framework combining network psychometrics with the Linguistic-Integrated Reliability Audit (LiRA) via a modified Ising...
The existing literature on model calibration focuses mainly on classification and probabilistic prediction. In this work, we address calibrated point predictions for the conditional mean. Although existing impossibility results preclude exact out-of-sample calibrated predictions, we develop calibrated confidence intervals that provide...
Across various non-verifiable tasks, human evaluation is reliable but expensive, while automatic metrics are more scalable but often biased. Building on prediction-powered inference (PPI), we propose prediction-powered evaluation, a framework that combines limited human judgments with large-scale automatic scores to obtain...
Model selection becomes particularly challenging under strong predictor dependence and model-class uncertainty, especially when there are exponentially many models. We propose a Descriptive-Complexity Information Criterion (DCIC) that regularizes large candidate model collections through Kraft-admissible code lengths. Under...
In this paper, we study the problem of augmenting a tiny target sample with a massive auxiliary sample. Utilizing Tukey's factorization, there are two popular approaches: the inverse probability weight (IPW) and the full-likelihood (FL) methods. We show that the IPW approach suffers from the limited target sample problem while the FL...
Recent work encourages political scientists to move from post-only toward within-subject designs for improved precision from repeated measurements. We formalize a potential-outcomes framework for two-period within-subject designs that allows for unequal allocation and heterogeneous treatment and carryover effects. We characterize the...
Discrete diffusion models have become a strong, widely adopted class of generators for sequence data, and steering them toward a downstream reward at inference time, without any retraining, is increasingly important. Such training-free steering is done by gradient guidance, by search, or by combining the two. We study the combined...
Open World Object Detection (OWOD) built on multimodal foundation models often suffers from semantic ambiguity caused by unidirectional text-to-vision matching, while rigid outlier penalties may over-suppress unknown objects near known-class decision boundaries. We propose CODE (Cross-Modal Calibration and Dynamic Suppression), a...
We propose a Josephson diode mechanism in which nonreciprocity arises not from a conventional asymmetric Andreev spectrum but from nonequilibrium occupation of the current-carrying states engineered by attached reservoirs. We realize this mechanism in a double-quantum-dot junction, where a phase-textured nonlocal reservoir acts as a...
Purpose: To complement 1.5-minute measurements of common tensor-valued diffusion MRI (dMRI) markers with rapid constrained fitting. Methods: Fast dMRI protocols for obtaining rotational invariants of the cumulant expansion (RICE) were paired with constrained weighted linear least squares (CWLLS) to stabilize the more fragile WLLS...
A new adaptation of the Find Erasures and Decode algorithm from classical to quantum expander codes is presented. It runs in linear time and is parallelizable to logarithmic depth. Compared to Small Set Flip and Small Set Find, the new algorithm avoids the overhead of considering the subsets of stabilizer generators, requires less...
In Abner J. Salgado and Ignacio Tomas. Diagonally implicit Runge-Kutta schemes: discrete energy-balance laws and compactness properties. J. Number. Math., 31(4):313-341, 2023, the notion of $U$-stability for Diagonally Implicit Runge-Kutta (DIRK) schemes was introduced. Here we establish the equivalence between $U$- and $B$-...