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2026-01-06 10:05 UTC · econ.TH · econ.TH

Improving Financial Forecasting with a Synergistic LLM-Transformer Architecture: A Hybrid Approach to Stock Price Prediction

Sayed Akif Hussain, Chen Qiu-shi, Syed Amer Hussain, Syed Atif Hussain, Asma Komal, Muhammad Imran Khalid

This study proposes a novel hybrid deep learning framework that integrates a Large Language Model (LLM) with a Transformer architecture for stock price forecasting. The research addresses a critical theoretical gap in existing approaches that empirically combine textual and numerical data without a formal understanding of their interaction mechanisms. We conceptualise a prompt-based LLM as a mathematically defined signal generator, capable of extracting directional market sentiment and an associated confidence score from financial news. These signals are then dynamically fused with structured historical price features through a noise-robust gating mechanism, enabling the Transformer to adaptively weigh semantic and quantitative information. Empirical evaluations demonstrate that the proposed Hybrid LLM-Transformer model significantly outperforms a Vanilla Transformer baseline, reducing the Root Mean Squared Error (RMSE) by 5.28% (p = 0.003). Moreover, ablation and robustness analyses confirm the model's stability under noisy conditions and its capacity to maintain interpretability through confidence-weighted attention. The findings provide both theoretical and empirical support for a paradigm shift from empirical observation to formalised modelling of LLM-Transformer interactions, paving the way toward explainable, noise-resilient, and semantically enriched financial forecasting systems.
arXiv abstractPDF

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